Elgin City vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EDI
3 - 0
ELG
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
CWB
1 - 1
ELG
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 0
ELG
44%
24%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ELG
0 - 0
ARB
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 3
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
ARB
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
EDI
2 - 2
BER
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BER
1 - 3
CWB
69%
18%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
BER
4 - 3
CLY
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |