Elche vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ELC
6 - 1
ATR
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
ELC
2 - 0
ATH
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 3
ELC
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
ELC
0 - 2
ALA
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
RSO
2 - 0
ELC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
CLH
2 - 0
ZAR
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 5
LEG
28%
30%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MLL
2 - 1
ZAR
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
ZAR
3 - 0
CAS
61%
25%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
UDL
0 - 2
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |