Elche vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
80.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ELC
1 - 0
VIL
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
ELC
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 2
ELC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 0
GRA
23%
24%
53%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 2
ELC
82%
13%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
13%
19%
69%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
FCB
2 - 3
RMA
32%
23%
45%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
VCF
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 3
RMA
2%
12%
86%
|
94 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2022 |
GET
1 - 0
RMA
7%
17%
76%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |