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La Liga. Matchday 12

Elche vs Real Madrid analysis

Elche Real Madrid
65 ELO 93
10% Tilt 9%
392º General ELO ranking
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.2%
Elche
20%
Draw
62.8%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
Elche
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.8%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Elche
-27%
+38%
Real Madrid

Points and table prediction

Elche
Their league position
Real Madrid
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
18º
18º
17
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Real Madrid
17
91
2%
Sevilla
17
67
8%
Atlético
17
71
7%
Osasuna
17
61
7%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
6%
Athletic
13
51
11º
5%
Valencia
10º
12
66
4%
Espanyol
11º
12
42
13º
6%
Villarreal
12º
11
56
10º
5%
Mallorca
13º
11
38
15º
6%
Elche
14º
9
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Cádiz
16º
7
38
16º
7%
Granada
17º
6
43
12º
6%
Levante
18º
5
35
18º
8%
Alavés
19º
3
20
20º
11%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
Elche
Real Madrid
Champion
0% 97%
Champions League
9% 2%
Europa League
4% 0%
Europa Conference League
4% 0%
Mid-table
62% 0%
Relegation
20% 0%

ELO progression

Elche
ELC
Real Madrid
RMA
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Desna Chernihiv
DES
Celta
CEL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Elche
Elche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche
ELC
47%
27%
26%
1646 1586 -60 -12
03 Oct. 2021
ELC
Elche
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
35%
27%
38%
1628 2329 -701 +17
26 Sep. 2021
RSO
R. Sociedad
1 - 0
Elche
ELC
71%
18%
11%
1632 2661 1029 -4
22 Sep. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
4 - 1
Elche
ELC
71%
18%
11%
1639 2645 1006 -7
18 Sep. 2021
ELC
Elche
1 - 1
Levante
LEV
33%
27%
39%
1635 2153 -518 +3

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3416 1756 -1660 +12
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
72%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8
22 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
86%
10%
4%
3485 1760 1725 +3