Elche vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.7%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
45%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
SLA
2 - 0
ELC
48%
29%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ELC
1 - 1
ZAR
36%
31%
32%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
48%
30%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
GRA
2 - 1
ELC
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1974 |
ATM
1 - 2
FCB
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1974 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ATM
55%
24%
22%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1974 |
ATM
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |