KF Elbasani vs Pogradeci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
3 - 1
ELB
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ELB
1 - 3
TOM
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
EGN
3 - 0
ELB
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BES
4 - 0
ELB
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
TUR
2 - 1
ELB
49%
24%
28%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pogradeci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
POG
1 - 0
TOM
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
EGN
0 - 0
POG
35%
29%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
POG
2 - 1
BES
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
TUR
4 - 1
POG
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
POG
2 - 1
FLA
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |