El Paso Locomotive vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Paso Locomotive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 1
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
3 - 2
NMU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
EPL
22%
25%
52%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
NMU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
COL
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |