El Mansura vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Mansura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 1
ELM
57%
27%
17%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ELM
2 - 0
ELS
34%
30%
37%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
1 - 0
ELM
59%
26%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ELM
1 - 1
EEE
39%
29%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
GOU
1 - 1
ELM
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 0
ASY
66%
22%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
ALM
1 - 1
ALA
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
JAI
2 - 4
ALA
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ALA
1 - 1
HEL
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ELS
1 - 2
ALA
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |