Poli Ejido vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CDL
1 - 3
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
POL
1 - 0
MEL
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 3
POL
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 1
POL
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
POL
3 - 2
UBC
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 0
MAR
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
5 - 2
AGD
72%
19%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 1
BET
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 0
AGD
24%
29%
47%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
AGD
3 - 0
GRA
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |