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Regionalliga. Norte, Matchday 21

Eintracht Norderstedt vs St. Pauli II analysis

Eintracht Norderstedt St. Pauli II
39 ELO 38
52% Tilt 101%
6032º General ELO ranking 4848º
142º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
42.3%
Eintracht Norderstedt
20.6%
Draw
37.1%
St. Pauli II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
Eintracht Norderstedt
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
37.1%
Win probability
St. Pauli II
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eintracht Norderstedt
+22%
+15%
St. Pauli II

Points and table prediction

Eintracht Norderstedt
Their league position
St. Pauli II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
19º
16
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Weiche Flensburg
24
45
59%
Havelse
20
41
19%
Werder Bremen II
20
40
10%
Schwarz-Weiss Rehden
17
34
7%
Teutonia Ottensen
16
32
6%
Eintracht Norderstedt
16
34
9%
St. Pauli II
16
31
10º
6%
 Hamburger SV II
15
34
6%
Drochtersen / Assel
15
33
5%
1. FC Phönix Lübeck
10º
15
29
13º
6%
VfB Oldenburg
11º
14
30
11º
5%
Hannover 96 II
12º
13
30
12º
5%
Jeddeloh
13º
12
32
5%
LSK Hansa
14º
12
26
14º
6%
Oberneuland
15º
12
21
17º
7%
Borussia Hildesheim
16º
11
23
16º
7%
Wolfsburg II
17º
9
24
15º
6%
Holstein Kiel II
18º
9
19
19º
10%
Hannoverscher
19º
6
19
18º
9%
Heider SV
20º
4
12
22º
14%
Altona 93
21º
3
15
20º
15%
Atlas Delmenhorst
22º
2
13
21º
15%
Expected probabilities
Eintracht Norderstedt
St. Pauli II
Champion
7% 2%
Promotion playoffs
30% 22%
Relegation playoffs
36% 36%
Mid-table
27% 40%

ELO progression

St. Pauli II
STP
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
Heider SV
HEI
Hannoverscher
HSC
FC St. Pauli
STP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eintracht Norderstedt
Eintracht Norderstedt
1%
X%
2%
ELO EIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
STP
St. Pauli II
3 - 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
46%
27%
27%
571 530 -41 -3

Matches

St. Pauli II
St. Pauli II
1%
X%
2%
ELO STP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Oct. 2020
STP
St. Pauli II
3 - 0
Eintracht Norderstedt
EIN
46%
27%
27%
530 571 -41 +3