Eintracht Frankfurt vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
HEI
1 - 2
EIN
26%
24%
49%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EIN
2 - 2
S04
28%
24%
49%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
HSV
1 - 2
EIN
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
EIN
0 - 1
BYM
9%
16%
76%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
HER
1 - 2
EIN
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
HEI
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
DAR
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SGD
4 - 0
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 1
RTV
30%
27%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MSV
3 - 0
ERZ
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |