Eibar vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
85.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.3%
0-4
10%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.6%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
3%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAL
2 - 1
EIB
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
RAY
2 - 3
EIB
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 1
GRA
34%
28%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FCB
3 - 0
EIB
93%
6%
1%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
EIB
3 - 3
LEV
35%
30%
35%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RMA
5 - 1
RAY
91%
7%
2%
|
98 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
RMA
1 - 0
LIV
84%
11%
6%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GRA
0 - 4
RMA
5%
12%
83%
|
96 | 79 | 17 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
RMA
2%
8%
89%
|
97 | 43 | 54 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RMA
3 - 1
FCB
62%
19%
19%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |