Eibar vs Montañeros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
PON
1 - 0
EIB
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
EIB
2 - 1
CFP
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MIR
1 - 1
EIB
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
EIB
1 - 0
SES
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
PON
1 - 1
EIB
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
LUG
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
63%
22%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
RCF
19%
26%
56%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |