noscript image

FA Cup. Qualifying round

Aggregate 6-6. Vuelta 4-4

Egham Town vs Lancing analysis

Egham Town Lancing
53 ELO 51
27% Tilt 209%
1061º General ELO ranking 1330º
149º Country ELO ranking 285º
ELO win probability
21.1%
Egham Town
16.2%
Draw
62.7%
Lancing

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
Egham Town
1.81
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
11.1%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
62.7%
Win probability
Lancing
3.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
6%
3-4
2.7%
4-5
0.8%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
4.6%
3-5
1.7%
4-6
0.4%
5-7
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
5%
2-5
2.8%
3-6
0.8%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
1.4%
3-7
0.4%
4-8
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%