Edgeworth Eagles vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Edgeworth Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EDG
0 - 0
LAM
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
WBE
0 - 3
EDG
20%
21%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
EDG
1 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HAM
1 - 2
EDG
22%
21%
58%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
2 - 4
EDG
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
4 - 1
LAK
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
LAK
1 - 3
HAM
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
LAK
2 - 3
LAM
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
1 - 0
LAK
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BRO
4 - 1
LAK
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |