Eder vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 1
EDE
61%
18%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
EDE
1 - 1
VCD
36%
22%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LJF
5 - 0
EDE
62%
19%
20%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EDE
1 - 4
ESP
15%
18%
67%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AST
5 - 0
EDE
62%
18%
20%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VCD
2 - 3
MAT
62%
18%
20%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAT
2 - 3
ESP
13%
16%
71%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAT
78%
13%
9%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MAT
3 - 2
DEU
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
RIH
7 - 1
MAT
44%
21%
35%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |