ECUS vs Mauaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+214%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ECUS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
ECU
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ECU
0 - 0
MFC
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ECU
4 - 0
MAN
41%
22%
38%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BEB
1 - 1
ECU
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAU
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Mauaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
MAU
4 - 0
MAN
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
MAU
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AEA
1 - 1
MAU
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAU
0 - 1
COL
45%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |