XV de Novembro vs Francana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
XV de Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
ECN
33%
24%
42%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
GDS
1 - 1
ECN
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
ECN
2 - 1
BEB
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
ECN
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
ECN
3 - 1
MAT
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Francana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 1
GDS
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
BEB
1 - 3
FRA
26%
23%
52%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 4
FRA
27%
22%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FRA
2 - 2
ECN
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
GDS
1 - 2
FRA
12%
16%
73%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |