EC São José vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ECS
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ECS
1 - 2
VIT
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
YPI
2 - 2
ECS
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ECS
2 - 1
CAM
57%
26%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
ECS
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FFL
2 - 1
BOT
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
YPI
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 3
BOT
29%
31%
40%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOT
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |