Nova Cidade vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 1
NCI
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
SER
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
NCI
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
1 - 1
FRI
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PER
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SFC
4 - 3
SAO
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
BAR
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 5
SAO
21%
21%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAD
27%
23%
50%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |