Nova Cidade vs Carapebus EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
NCI
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 2
SFC
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
3 - 0
GOY
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CGA
2 - 0
NCI
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 0
SER
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CGA
13%
16%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CIG
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEC
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 2
PER
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
3 - 3
DUQ
20%
22%
58%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |