Nova Cidade vs 7 de Abril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
33.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SAO
4 - 4
NCI
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
0 - 0
CEC
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
NCI
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
1 - 2
SFC
37%
24%
39%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
3 - 0
GOY
25%
23%
52%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +4 |
Matches
7 de Abril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
2 - 0
CGA
16%
18%
66%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
2 - 0
CIG
54%
22%
23%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 4
SER
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CIG
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIG
0 - 3
DUQ
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |