Bahía vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 0
CRI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
OES
0 - 1
BAH
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
BAH
9%
19%
72%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 0
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAH
1 - 3
VIT
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
51%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BAH
6 - 0
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |