Bahía vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1984 |
ATM
6 - 0
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CRB
1 - 0
BAH
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1984 |
TRE
1 - 1
BAH
25%
30%
46%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BAH
2 - 0
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
TRE
1 - 2
CRB
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
ATM
4 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1984 |
TRE
1 - 1
BAH
25%
30%
46%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BAN
1 - 0
TRE
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
VAS
5 - 2
TRE
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | +1 |