Bahía vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
2 - 2
BAH
73%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
1 - 2
VIT
35%
25%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
BAH
3 - 1
FLU
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 2
BAH
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
COT
0 - 0
BAH
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
JMA
4 - 2
PAR
31%
25%
43%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
3 - 3
IRA
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 1
FOR
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |