Conmebol Sudamericana Grupo B. Jor. 2

Bahía vs Guabirá Santa Cruz analysis

Bahía Guabirá Santa Cruz
77 ELO 66
2.1% Tilt -12.1%
147º General ELO ranking 1613º
19º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Bahía
21.1%
Draw
18.2%
Guabirá Santa Cruz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
Bahía
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.3%
Win probability
Guabirá Santa Cruz
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahía
+4%
+8%
Guabirá Santa Cruz

ELO progression

Bahía
Guabirá Santa Cruz
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2021
FOR
Fortaleza EC
0 - 0
Bahía
BAH
47%
27%
26%
76 78 2 0
22 Apr. 2021
TOR
Montevideo City Torque
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
47%
25%
28%
76 75 1 0
18 Apr. 2021
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Bahia de Feira
BAH
85%
11%
4%
76 47 29 0
17 Apr. 2021
BAH
Bahía
4 - 0
CRB
CRB
62%
21%
17%
76 68 8 0
10 Apr. 2021
BAH
Bahía
2 - 1
ABC
ABC
80%
14%
6%
75 54 21 +1

Matches

Guabirá Santa Cruz
Guabirá Santa Cruz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2021
SAN
San José Oruro
0 - 1
Guabirá Santa Cruz
GUA
39%
25%
37%
66 60 6 0
22 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
1 - 3
Independiente
IND
33%
26%
42%
67 80 13 -1
11 Apr. 2021
GUA
Guabirá Santa Cruz
0 - 2
Real Tomayapo
DRT
51%
25%
25%
68 67 1 -1
08 Apr. 2021
NAC
Nacional Potosí
1 - 2
Guabirá Santa Cruz
GUA
51%
22%
27%
67 67 0 +1
02 Apr. 2021
AUR
Aurora
2 - 1
Guabirá Santa Cruz
GUA
24%
25%
51%
67 56 11 0
X