Bahía vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
IPI
3 - 3
BAH
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
FEI
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SER
2 - 1
BAH
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
BAH
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BAH
1 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 2
ALA
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
FLU
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FLU
0 - 1
FOR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
CON
1 - 2
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |