Bahía vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
3 - 0
TRE
65%
24%
11%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
CSA
1 - 1
BAH
23%
29%
48%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
0 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
FLU
40%
31%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
BAH
0 - 0
VIT
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRB
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1976 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRB
82%
12%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 2
VIT
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
0 - 0
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1976 |
CRB
2 - 1
CSA
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |