Bahía vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 0
BAH
48%
27%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 0
PAL
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
COR
3 - 1
BAH
59%
23%
19%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 0
BAH
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
FOR
21%
27%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
21%
28%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SCI
5 - 2
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
64%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |