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Brazilian Serie A. Matchday 6

Bahía Athletico Paranaense
69 ELO 77
5% Tilt -36%
285º General ELO ranking 108º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.5%
Bahía
28.8%
Draw
20.6%
Athletico Paranaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Bahía
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
20.6%
Win probability
Athletico Paranaense
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Basic stats

70
30
POS
19
9
SOT
9
2
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
14
19
FRK
69
77
ELO
1.3
0.7
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Bahía
Their league position
Athletico Paranaense
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
12º
23
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palmeiras
31
80
44%
Atl. Mineiro
28
63
9%
Fortaleza EC
27
71
10%
RB Bragantino
24
83
3%
Athletico Paranaense
23
70
9%
Flamengo
21
71
8%
Ceará
19
59
6%
Atlético GO
18
48
12º
6%
Bahía
17
63
4%
Corinthians
10º
17
43
13º
6%
Fluminense
11º
17
53
6%
Santos FC
12º
16
51
10º
6%
EC Juventude
13º
16
35
15º
6%
Internacional
14º
14
48
11º
6%
Cuiabá
15º
12
32
18º
6%
Sport Recife
16º
11
34
16º
8%
São Paulo
17º
11
29
19º
9%
América Mineiro
18º
10
23
20º
8%
Grêmio
19º
7
40
14º
7%
Chapecoense
20º
4
34
17º
9%
Expected probabilities
Bahía
Athletico Paranaense
Champion
6% 16%
Copa Libertadores
28% 33%
Copa Libertadores knockout stages
19% 17%
South American Liguilla
29% 22%
Mid-table
11% 7%
Relegation
8% 5%

ELO progression

Athletico Paranaense
ATP
Bahía
BAH
Chapecoense
CHA
Palmeiras
PAL
Fortaleza EC
FOR
Fluminense
FLU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahía
Bahía
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2021
BAH
Bahía
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
44%
27%
29%
1866 2103 -237 +1
17 Jun. 2021
CEA
Ceará
1 - 2
Bahía
BAH
47%
27%
26%
1856 1786 -70 +10
14 Jun. 2021
BAH
Bahía
0 - 1
Internacional
SCI
40%
28%
32%
1864 2220 -356 -8
10 Jun. 2021
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Vila Nova
VIL
63%
21%
16%
1860 1100 760 +5
06 Jun. 2021
BRA
RB Bragantino
3 - 3
Bahía
BAH
49%
26%
25%
1859 1856 -3 +1

Matches

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2021
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
2 - 1
Atlético GO
ATL
64%
20%
16%
2298 1534 764 +4
16 Jun. 2021
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
0 - 0
Paraná
PAR
81%
13%
6%
2299 743 1556 -1
13 Jun. 2021
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
56%
24%
20%
2286 2563 277 +13
10 Jun. 2021
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Avaí
AVA
77%
15%
8%
2283 1095 1188 +3
06 Jun. 2021
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
22%
24%
54%
2276 1107 -1169 +6