Ebbsfleet United vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
EBB
4 - 0
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 1
BAT
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 0
DOV
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
EBB
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
EBB
4 - 2
FAR
67%
20%
14%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DOV
1 - 3
DAR
11%
19%
70%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EAS
3 - 1
DOV
76%
14%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 0
DOV
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
DOV
4 - 0
HEM
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
4 - 2
DOV
82%
12%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |