Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 2
EAS
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
4 - 3
MIT
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EAS
3 - 3
QUE
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
EAS
27%
23%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HPH
2 - 2
EAS
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2017 |
LOG
2 - 1
QUE
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 3
LOG
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HPH
3 - 3
LOG
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
LOG
5 - 0
IPS
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
LOG
19%
19%
63%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |