Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Waitakere United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TEA
3 - 1
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
HAW
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 2
EAS
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
58%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
WAI
7 - 2
HAW
37%
23%
39%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
45%
23%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TAS
3 - 1
WAI
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 2
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
77%
14%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |