Eastern Lions vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
76.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 0
ELS
87%
9%
3%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 4
SOU
6%
13%
81%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AVH
5 - 1
ELS
90%
8%
3%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
ELS
0 - 2
DAC
20%
21%
59%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
3 - 1
ELS
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
HUM
3 - 1
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 1
STA
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
68%
19%
14%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 1
MEL
61%
21%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
SOU
25%
23%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |