Eastern Lions vs FC Melbourne Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
63.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
ELS
58%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ELS
0 - 4
AVH
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
HUM
4 - 0
ELS
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
ELS
2 - 1
STA
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
DAN
2 - 1
ELS
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Melbourne Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
DAC
2 - 0
MEL
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
OAK
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
HEU
2 - 2
MEL
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
AVH
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
HUM
2 - 3
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |