Eastbourne United vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastbourne United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
PEA
0 - 0
EAS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 2
NEW
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
LCO
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
STC
28%
26%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CRO
3 - 0
EAS
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 1
SAL
67%
18%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HAS
0 - 0
HOR
74%
15%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRO
12%
17%
71%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 5
CRA
23%
21%
55%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |