Eastbourne United vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastbourne United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
EAS
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 0
TOW
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
LIT
4 - 0
EAS
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 1
NEW
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 0
EAS
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
1 - 1
BRO
30%
22%
49%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 0
HOR
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 1
CRA
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LCO
3 - 0
HOR
54%
21%
25%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |