Combined Counties Football League Southern Combination League. Jor. 9

Eastbourne United vs Varndeanians analysis

Eastbourne United Varndeanians
27 ELO 10
-15.8% Tilt -5.9%
8901º General ELO ranking 15311º
475º Country ELO ranking 852º
ELO win probability
81%
Eastbourne United
13.4%
Draw
5.6%
Varndeanians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
Eastbourne United
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.6%
Win probability
Varndeanians
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastbourne United
+2%
-11%
Varndeanians

ELO progression

Eastbourne United
Varndeanians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastbourne United
Eastbourne United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
CRA
Crawley Down Gatwick
4 - 2
Eastbourne United
EAS
37%
23%
40%
28 22 6 0
09 Mar. 2024
HAS
Hassocks
0 - 0
Eastbourne United
EAS
45%
23%
32%
28 27 1 0
17 Feb. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne United
1 - 0
Peacehaven & Telscombe
PEA
50%
24%
27%
28 25 3 0
03 Feb. 2024
EAS
Eastbourne United
7 - 0
Saltdean United
SAL
84%
12%
4%
27 8 19 +1
27 Jan. 2024
NEW
Newhaven
1 - 1
Eastbourne United
EAS
70%
17%
14%
28 36 8 -1

Matches

Varndeanians
Varndeanians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
MEF
Midhurst & Easebourne
3 - 2
Varndeanians
VAR
80%
12%
8%
10 20 10 0
09 Mar. 2024
VAR
Varndeanians
1 - 1
Crowborough Athletic
CRO
7%
14%
80%
9 32 23 +1
24 Feb. 2024
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe
PEA
11%
18%
72%
9 23 14 0
17 Feb. 2024
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 5
Horsham YMCA
HOR
24%
22%
54%
10 15 5 -1
03 Feb. 2024
VAR
Varndeanians
0 - 4
Eastbourne Town
TOW
11%
18%
71%
11 26 15 -1
X