Eastbourne Town vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastbourne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MEF
1 - 2
TOW
23%
21%
57%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
TOW
3 - 0
EAS
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
0 - 7
TOW
7%
16%
77%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 0
SHO
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 3
TOW
7%
15%
78%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
MEF
30%
22%
49%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HOR
1 - 0
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
LOX
2 - 2
HOR
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
0 - 1
HAS
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
HOR
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |