National League South . Jor. 2

Eastbourne Borough vs Bath City analysis

Eastbourne Borough Bath City
41 ELO 39
20.5% Tilt -1.3%
6155º General ELO ranking 3994º
289º Country ELO ranking 144º
ELO win probability
63.8%
Eastbourne Borough
19.9%
Draw
16.3%
Bath City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
Eastbourne Borough
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.3%
Win probability
Bath City
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Eastbourne Borough
+60%
-4%
Bath City

Points and table prediction

Eastbourne Borough
Their league position
Bath City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
22º
10º
65
21º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ebbsfleet United
100
103
100%
Dartford
82
85
100%
Chelmsford City
78
81
83%
Oxford City
79
79
83%
Worthing
76
76
100%
Braintree Town
73
74
70%
St. Albans City
72
73
70%
Havant & Waterlooville
70
70
37%
Tonbridge Angels
10º
67
70
0%
Eastbourne Borough
69
69
10º
60.5%
Farnborough
11º
66
67
11º
81.5%
Bath City
12º
65
65
12º
100%
Hemel Hempstead Town
13º
61
61
13º
53.5%
Chippenham Town
14º
59
60
14º
53.5%
Taunton Town
15º
58
58
15º
83%
Welling United
16º
56
57
16º
100%
Hampton & Richmond
17º
53
53
17º
76.5%
Slough Town
18º
50
51
18º
53.5%
Dulwich Hamlet FC
20º
48
49
19º
62.5%
Weymouth
21º
45
48
20º
55.5%
Dover Athletic
19º
48
48
21º
55.5%
Concord Rangers
22º
45
45
22º
72.5%
Cheshunt
23º
43
43
23º
79.5%
Hungerford Town
24º
40
40
24º
94.5%
Expected probabilities
Eastbourne Borough
Bath City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Eastbourne Borough
Bath City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Eastbourne Borough
Eastbourne Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
1 - 3
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
70%
18%
12%
39 47 8 0
16 Jul. 2022
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
0 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
37%
25%
38%
39 36 3 0
09 Jul. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
31%
25%
44%
39 50 11 0
02 Jul. 2022
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
0 - 1
Crawley Town
CRA
23%
22%
55%
39 52 13 0
11 May. 2022
OXF
Oxford City
2 - 0
Eastbourne Borough
EAS
64%
19%
17%
40 48 8 -1

Matches

Bath City
Bath City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
BAT
Bath City
0 - 2
Dartford
DAR
19%
23%
58%
39 49 10 0
30 Jul. 2022
YAT
Yate Town
0 - 2
Bath City
BAT
38%
25%
37%
38 36 2 +1
23 Jul. 2022
GLO
Gloucester City
3 - 1
Bath City
BAT
46%
25%
29%
39 40 1 -1
20 Jul. 2022
BCA
Bishops
0 - 3
Bath City
BAT
9%
15%
76%
39 6 33 0
16 Jul. 2022
EVE
Evesham United
1 - 1
Bath City
BAT
16%
22%
62%
39 18 21 0
X