East Thurrock United FC vs Walthamstow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
7º
12º
11º
62
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 78 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 78 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
4º
|
73 | 77 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 76 |
5º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 63 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
57 | 60 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 53 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
20º
|
0 | 53 |
11º
|
3% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
12º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 51 |
13º
|
34% | |
|
13º
|
47 | 50 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 48 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 38 |
16º
|
69% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 36 |
17º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 30 |
18º
|
89% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
19º
|
97.5% | |
|
19º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 0
LOW
7%
15%
78%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BRE
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEY
5 - 1
EAS
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 2
EAS
19%
22%
59%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAR
63%
20%
18%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 1
STO
63%
19%
17%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
WAL
1 - 2
BOW
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 0
WAL
26%
22%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
LOW
3 - 2
WAL
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
RED
2 - 3
WAL
60%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |