East Thurrock United FC vs Needham Market analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 1
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
5 - 0
TIV
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
HAM
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 3
EAS
18%
20%
63%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
3 - 0
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HEN
0 - 2
NEE
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEE
2 - 1
TON
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 3
EAS
18%
20%
63%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 2
CAN
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
1 - 3
BIL
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |