East Thurrock United FC vs Dagenham & Redbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
4 - 3
CON
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 3
MAI
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 1
EAS
20%
21%
59%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 2
EAS
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
EAS
3 - 4
CHE
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dagenham & Redbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BIL
3 - 2
DAG
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 4
DAG
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HEM
0 - 3
DAG
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 5
DAG
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 10
DAG
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |