East Fife vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BLA
2 - 0
EAS
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 2
EAS
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 3
MHE
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
2 - 1
ELG
45%
24%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EAS
5 - 0
BER
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 1
CLY
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BER
2 - 2
ARB
57%
21%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 2
QUE
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
ARB
30%
23%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 3
ELG
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |