DZC '68 vs Nivo Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
4º
26
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DZC '68
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SVL
3 - 2
DZC
35%
25%
41%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DZC
2 - 0
DUN
23%
23%
54%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SLI
0 - 1
DZC
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
DZC
1 - 1
ALM
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DZC
1 - 5
BEN
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nivo Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
NIV
2 - 0
SVL
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
NIV
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NIV
0 - 1
SLI
30%
21%
49%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
NIV
0 - 3
BOS
6%
12%
81%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 2
NIV
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |