CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 3-2
Dynamos vs LD Maputo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DYN
3 - 0
HAR
46%
25%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 2
DYN
87%
10%
3%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DYN
2 - 0
KIG
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FCP
0 - 1
DYN
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
DYN
2 - 0
MOT
50%
27%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
LD Maputo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 3
PEM
70%
20%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
LIG
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
2 - 2
DYN
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
0 - 0
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIG
3 - 0
MAF
84%
12%
4%
|
69 | 6 | 63 | -1 |