DWV vs Hilversum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DWV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HBS
1 - 0
DWV
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DWV
2 - 2
VVS
20%
25%
56%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
ARG
5 - 0
DWV
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VUC
2 - 0
DWV
59%
21%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DWV
0 - 2
HOL
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
HIL
2 - 0
VUC
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ELI
0 - 3
HIL
43%
25%
33%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
HIL
1 - 2
HOL
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HIL
0 - 0
WES
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AFC
3 - 1
HIL
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |