Dve Mogili vs Botev Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dve Mogili
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SEP
3 - 1
DVE
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LUD
2 - 0
DVE
87%
11%
3%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
DVE
5 - 0
KUB
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
DOR
0 - 0
DVE
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
DVE
2 - 2
SKS
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 1
LUD
12%
21%
67%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KUB
3 - 1
BOT
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 2
DOR
20%
24%
57%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ECB
0 - 2
BOT
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |