Duruji vs Porvardi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duruji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
SAS
0 - 0
DUR
10%
17%
74%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
DUR
2 - 1
RUS
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
ACH
6 - 1
DUR
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
7 - 1
FGT
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
BOR
6 - 1
DUR
66%
19%
16%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Porvardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
BOR
5 - 0
FPT
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
FPT
3 - 3
ACH
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +3 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
FPT
4 - 3
SOK
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
IBE
7 - 3
FPT
61%
20%
20%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
FPT
1 - 1
HER
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |