Atlético Porteño vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
32.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
OCT
2 - 0
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PQU
0 - 0
POR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
SSR
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 1
POR
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
AME
2 - 2
MAN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 0
INJ
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
PQU
1 - 0
AME
27%
29%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |